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2024-12-14 05:13:40

The RMB exchange rate is expected to appreciate again at the end of the year. The research team of the Financial Market Department of Agricultural Bank of China said that the market transactions have shown obvious narrative-driven characteristics in recent years. Considering some recent changes, the RMB exchange rate is expected to stabilize and rebound again in the future. First, the pricing of Trump transactions in the international market has come to an end. Second, there has been a major shift in domestic macro policies. Since late September, financial policies such as lowering the RRR, cutting interest rates, supporting the stock market and the real estate market, and fiscal debt measures have boosted market confidence. Third, there has been a favorable change in supply and demand in the domestic foreign exchange market. The end of the year is the traditional peak season for enterprises to settle foreign exchange, and the continuous forward discount will lead to the backlog of foreign exchange settlement, which will further amplify the demand for foreign exchange settlement at the end of the year. Further considering the overall situation of the game between China and the United States, Trump's return not only means the enhancement of external shocks, but also the upgrading of internal policies. The RMB exchange rate will maintain two-way fluctuations next year, and it is no longer a steady profit for enterprises to hold US dollars and postpone foreign exchange settlement. While stabilizing domestic foreign trade and foreign investment, continuing to expand high-level opening-up and expanding domestic demand in an all-round way implies the certainty of economic stabilization and recovery, which is expected to promote the return of short-term securities investment and medium-and long-term direct investment and help the RMB stop falling and rebound.Turkish Defense Ministry source: Syrian allies continue to advance in northern Syria to "eliminate terrorism".IEA Monthly Report: The decision of OPEC+has reduced the potential oversupply. The International Energy Agency (IEA) said today that the recent decision of OPEC+member countries to postpone the planned production increase has "greatly reduced" the potential oversupply next year. Nevertheless, IEA said that in view of the persistent overproduction in some OPEC+member countries, strong supply growth outside the alliance and moderate global oil demand growth, there may still be a serious oversupply in the oil market in 2025. IEA predicts that even if all OPEC+production reduction plans remain unchanged, supply will exceed demand by about 950,000 barrels per day next year. IEA said that if OPEC members start increasing production in April as planned, the oversupply will increase to 1.4 million barrels per day.


IEA Monthly Report: Despite the rising demand, the oil market will be fully supplied in 2025. The International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday that although OPEC+extended the reduction of oil supply and the demand forecast was slightly higher than expected, the global oil market will be fully supplied in 2025. In its monthly oil market report, the agency said that its forecast of global oil demand growth in 2025 was raised from 990,000 barrels per day last month to 1.1 million barrels per day, "mainly from Asian countries, especially affected by China's recent stimulus measures".On the 12th, the South Korean National Assembly voted to impeach the Minister of Justice Park Hyung-jae and the Director of the Police Department Zhao Zhihao.Israeli: Community alarm sounded near Gaza.


Zelensky's office stated that it was ready to negotiate with Russia. Mikhail Podolyak, adviser to the director of Ukrainian President Zelensky's office, said in an interview with Channel 24 that Kiev was ready to negotiate with Russia. He pointed out that simple solutions should not be expected, and Ukraine needs just peace conditions. Earlier, Kremlin spokesman dmitry Peskov said that Russia was willing to negotiate with Ukraine provided that the conditions proposed by Russian President Vladimir Putin were met. The conditions mentioned include the complete withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from new Russian regions and Ukraine's neutrality.Seven members of South Korea's ruling party announced that they would support the impeachment of Yin Xiyue. On the afternoon of the 12th local time, another member of South Korea's ruling National Power Party, Han Zhiya, announced that he would vote in favor of the impeachment of President Yin Xiyue on the 14th. Up to now, seven members of the National Power Party have publicly expressed their support for the impeachment of President Yin Xiyue. According to outside analysis, this means that the possibility of Yin Xiyue's impeachment case being passed in the South Korean National Assembly is further increased. (CCTV News)Rapdidus will start producing 2-nanometer chips in April next year. Dong Zhelang, president of Rapdidus, an advanced Japanese semiconductor foundry company, said that by the end of March 2025, Rapdidus will complete all the equipment setup required for trial production of 2-nanometer chips, and start the trial production line in April to actually produce 2-nanometer chips.

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